StonkFun (STONK) closed the Sunday 13 September session at $0.2105, a third below its $0.316 closing high of 11 September. Our StonkFun price prediction for the rest of 2026 is a base range of $0.187 to $0.2105, with $0.32 needing the platform's September revenue to hold and $0.16 the first stop if it fades.
The recompute starts with the chain. A Solana supply read at 17:08 UTC on Monday 14 September returned 847,035,592 STONK, so 15.30% of the 1 billion launch supply is gone. The project's own ledger values those burns at $7.96 million, an average of $0.052 a token. Burning the same amount at the Sunday close would cost $32.2 million, four times as much.
StonkFun Price Prediction Summary at a Glance
Item | Value |
Sunday 13 September close | $0.2105 (Meteora STONK/SOL pool) |
Supply, 14 September 17:08 UTC | 847,035,592 STONK, 15.30% burned |
50/200-day state | None (49 complete bars), 20-session average $0.0967 |
Next dated catalyst | FOMC statement, Wednesday 16 September |
Bear scenario | $0.156 (6 and 7 September closes) |
Base scenario | $0.187 to $0.2105 |
Bull scenario | $0.316 (11 September closing high) |
What Is StonkFun (STONK)?
StonkFun is a Solana launchpad where anyone can start a token paired against tokenized stocks or currencies, and STONK is the platform's own token. STONK trades against SPYx, a tokenized S&P 500 tracker, in a Raydium pool that opened at 19:07 UTC on 23 July 2026.
The revenue engine is easy to follow. On a standard 1% pool the token's creator earns 0.5% of every trade and the platform keeps the other 0.5%, according to StonkFun's developer documentation. The StonkFun revenue page says roughly 60% of platform revenue buys STONK on the open market and burns it, and the ledger behind it shows 59.4% through 13 September. Tokens that use STONK as their quote asset send their fees straight to the burn with no buyback step.
Our StonkFun explainer read the supply at 897,727,002 STONK at 11:06 UTC on 29 August. The chain has destroyed another 50,691,410 tokens in the 16 days and six hours since, about 3.1 million a day, a rate that rests on two numbers that both moved by an order of magnitude inside the window.
Where Is STONK Trading After the Sunday 13 September Close?
STONK closed Sunday 13 September at $0.2105 on the Meteora STONK/SOL pool and at $0.2092 on the SPYx pool, a spread of 0.62%. CoinGecko's aggregate snapshot at 00:00 UTC on 14 September read $0.21052, in line with the first feed. At the 14 September supply read that close gives STONK a market cap of $178.3 million.
The session was a hard one, a 29.0% fall from Saturday's $0.2965 close, but the seven sessions to 13 September still rose 34.0% from the $0.1571 close of 6 September. On the SPYx pool, which carries the longer series, STONK finished 13 September at about 21 times its Friday 14 August close of $0.0100.
The token has 49 complete daily bars on that pool, too few for a 50-day average and nowhere near a 200-day. The nearest usable yardstick is the 20-session average of $0.0967, and the SPYx close sits 116% above it. Phemex doesn't list STONK, so every price here comes from Solana pools and CoinGecko.
Does Anything in the Tape Explain the 29% Fall?
The wider market doesn't. On Phemex the SOLUSDT perp closed 13 September down 2.45% and BTCUSDT down 0.57%, a fraction of STONK's drop. StonkFun's own ledger tells a closer story. The platform booked $2.21 million of revenue on Friday 11 September, the day STONK set its closing high, then $1.05 million on 12 September and $901,000 on 13 September. Revenue fell 59% in two sessions and the price fell with it.
How Much STONK Has StonkFun Burned, and What Did It Cost?
Method: we called the Solana RPC method getTokenSupply on the canonical mint, 6GmAFSYs4gk3FDao5FzzySQpPZaWsa4rUJHacpMpUNgx, at slot 447,029,723. It returned 847,035,591.87 STONK. We then pulled the burn totals from StonkFun's public API and checked the chain against the project.
The two sources agree to within 23,738 tokens. Against a launch supply of 1 billion the chain shows 152,964,408 STONK gone, and the project's ledger lists 152,940,670 burned across 13,481 transactions. That ledger values the burns at $7.96 million at the moment each one landed, which works out to $0.052 per token.
That average is the number the market skipped. Most of the 15.30% burned before 6 September, when STONK still closed under five cents, so each buyback dollar retired far more tokens than it would at the Sunday close. At $0.2105 the same 152.96 million tokens would cost $32.2 million in buybacks, against $12.17 million of total platform revenue through 13 September.
The split across the 16 days since our explainer shows the mechanism. From 29 August to 5 September the platform spent $371,495 on buybacks, about $46,000 a day, and at each day's SPYx close that bought roughly 15.6 million STONK. From 6 to 13 September buybacks jumped to $6.21 million, about $776,000 a day. That's 16.7 times the dollars. It bought roughly 30.8 million STONK, only twice the tokens, because the average token cost about eight times as much. Those token counts are our estimate, each day's buyback spend divided by that day's close.
That's why a 16-day burn rate says little about 2030. The StonkFun token burn is real and anyone can check it on-chain. Each cent the price adds makes it more expensive, because the rate in tokens is revenue divided by price. Our guide to how token burns work walks through buyback-and-burn models on other projects.
The same arithmetic prices the next 10%. At a constant market cap, burning a further 10% of supply lifts the price per token by 11.1%. At the Sunday close that 10% means 84.7 million STONK and about $17.8 million of buybacks. At a 59.4% buyback share that takes roughly $30.0 million of revenue, 2.5 times what StonkFun earned from launch through 13 September.
What Could Move the STONK Price?
Four drivers matter, and two of them show up first in StonkFun's own revenue ledger.
Daily platform revenue
Revenue funds every buyback. The platform earned $627,103 from 29 August to 5 September and $10.42 million from 6 to 13 September, which puts 86% of its revenue through 13 September inside those last eight sessions. A supply story that rests on eight sessions of revenue carries a concentration risk you can date to the day.
The LaunchLab pipeline
StonkFun announced on Saturday 5 September that new launches would deploy through Raydium's LaunchLab, according to The Block's report of 6 September. STONK closed that Saturday at $0.0426 on the SPYx pool, up 87% on the day. It closed Sunday 6 September at $0.1564, a 267% jump in one session. More launches mean more pools paying the platform its 0.5%, and that's how LaunchLab reaches the STONK price.
The FOMC statement on 16 September
The Federal Reserve meets on 15 and 16 September with a fresh Summary of Economic Projections, according to the Fed's meeting calendar. The statement lands on Wednesday 16 September, after this forecast publishes, so treat the date as a volatility marker with no outcome attached. A launchpad token has no direct line to the funds rate, but STONK's 29% fall on 13 September shows how little it takes to move a token this thin. Our guide to FOMC meetings and cryptolays out how rate decisions reach risk assets.
Rival launchpads
StonkFun competes with other Solana launchpads for the same token creators, and our STONK vs PONS comparisonputs the two platform tokens side by side. If deployments drift to a rival, the 0.5% platform cut shrinks with them and so does the buyback.
What Are the Bear, Base and Bull Scenarios for STONK in 2026?
Scenario | Level | Derived from | What has to happen |
Bear | $0.156 | The 6 and 7 September closes, the first shelf after LaunchLab | Daily revenue slides back toward the pre-LaunchLab pace |
Base | $0.187 to $0.2105 | The 9 September close to the 13 September close | Revenue holds near the 13 September level |
Bull | $0.316 | The 11 September closing high (Meteora pool) | Revenue returns to the 11 September pace and holds |
Thesis break | $0.0426 | The 5 September close on the SPYx pool | The LaunchLab re-rating unwinds in full |
Our base case is $0.187 to $0.2105, the band between the Wednesday 9 September close and the Sunday close. At the 14 September supply that's a market cap of $158.4 million to $178.3 million. It holds if daily revenue stays near the $901,000 StonkFun booked on 13 September, which at the 59.4% buyback share burns roughly 2.6 million STONK a session. The base case fails on a daily close below $0.156.
The bear level is $0.156, the pair of closes on 6 and 7 September that formed the first shelf after the LaunchLab jump. It maps to a $132.1 million cap. If you see $0.156, the market is pricing StonkFun's revenue back toward the $78,000 a day it averaged from 29 August to 5 September. That pace burned about two million tokens a session.
The bull level is $0.316, the Meteora pool's closing high on Friday 11 September, with the SPYx pool printing $0.3176 the same day. At the 14 September supply that's a $267.7 million cap, 50% above the Sunday close. It needs revenue back near the $2.21 million StonkFun earned on 11 September, held for more than one session.
The level that breaks the whole thesis is $0.0426, the SPYx close of Saturday 5 September. StonkFun announced the LaunchLab move that day, so the level marks the last close before the Sunday session re-rated the token. A daily close below $0.0426 hands back the entire re-rating and values STONK at about $36.1 million on the 14 September supply. That's the price of a launchpad earning well under $100,000 a day.
What Is the STONK Price Prediction for 2027 to 2030?
A STONK price prediction for 2030 built on the September burn rate would be fiction, and we won't print one. The token has 51 days of revenue history, a record too short to extrapolate across four years. What we can print is the arithmetic any 2030 level has to pass.
Burn alone won't carry STONK to $0.32. Holding the $178.3 million cap fixed, a $0.316 price needs supply to fall to about 564 million tokens. That's a further 283 million burned, 1.85 times everything StonkFun has destroyed since July, and each of those tokens costs more than the last as the price climbs.
So any 2027 to 2030 view comes down to two inputs. The first is platform revenue, which funds the buybacks and has to grow faster than the price for the burn to hold its pace in tokens. The second is the market cap buyers will pay for that revenue, and on a launchpad token that cap has no floor.
Say StonkFun keeps routing 59.4% of revenue to buybacks and earns another $30 million at prices near the Sunday close. Supply would then fall by about 10%, and a flat $178.3 million cap would value each token near $0.234. That's a burn-only case, and it assumes the cap holds, the one thing STONK's cap didn't do between 11 and 13 September.
What Are the Risks of Trading STONK?
Thin pools print their own prices
On 11 September the Meteora STONK/SOL pool printed an intraday high of $0.530 and the SPYx pool topped out at $0.349. A 52% gap between two pools on one token can fill your stop at a price no other venue showed. It's why every level in this forecast uses closes.
The quote asset trades on weekends
STONK's oldest pool prices it against SPYx, a tokenized S&P 500 token that keeps trading when US equity markets close. A weekend move in SPYx shifts STONK's dollar price on that pool before anyone trades STONK itself, so the two feeds can split for reasons that have nothing to do with StonkFun.
The buyback is a setting
The 60% share is a platform policy. StonkFun's public API reports buybacks as a config switch, and on 14 September it read on. The revenue page also notes that volatile quote tokens make the exact split vary slightly, so the ledger's 59.4% will wander around the 60% headline.
Same ticker, different tokens
Other tokens share the STONK ticker, and CoinGecko files this one under the id stonk-3. The only STONK contract this forecast covers is the Solana mint ending in MpUNgx, and a buy on any other contract gets you a different token with a different supply.
No futures market on Phemex
Without a STONK futures market on Phemex you can't short it or hedge it here, so a holder's only exit is selling into the same pools that printed the 29% fall on 13 September.
Frequently Asked Questions
Can StonkFun mint new STONK?
No. Our read of the mint account at slot 447,029,725 showed no mint authority and no freeze authority, so no wallet can issue new STONK to replace what burns or freeze a holder's balance.
What does a StonkFun token creator earn?
On the default 1% pool a creator earns 0.5% of every trade, and StonkFun's developer documentation lists a 2% tier where the creator earns 1.5% and the platform still keeps 0.5%. The platform's cut is the same on both, so on those two tiers its revenue moves with trading volume.
What is the StonkFun price prediction for September 2026?
The base case is $0.187 to $0.2105 through the end of September, with $0.156 below and $0.316 above. CoinGecko's aggregate record is $0.343, set at 23:45 UTC on 11 September, so the bull level sits 8% under the intraday peak.
Bottom Line
STONK trades on StonkFun's revenue, and the burn is the receipt. Every buyback dollar at the Sunday close retires about a quarter of the tokens the average dollar retired since launch, so a flat revenue line means a shrinking burn and a price that has to earn each cent from new launches. The number you should watch is the daily revenue print on StonkFun's own ledger. Above $2 million a day the $0.32 retest is live, below $100,000 a day the $0.16 shelf comes into play, and a close under $0.0426 ends the LaunchLab thesis.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Cryptocurrency trading involves substantial risk. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.
