Coinbase Institutional and Glassnode have published their Q4 2026 Charting Crypto report, indicating that Bitcoin transitioned from a bottoming process to early recovery in the third quarter despite Federal Reserve tightening and rising Treasury yields. The quarterly outlook remains constructive for the remainder of the year, though the authors cite specific factors warranting near-term caution.
On-chain data reveals that Bitcoin sentiment has recovered without becoming overextended, with Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) returning to the Optimism/Anxiety band while remaining below the Belief/Denial threshold. Long-term holders largely maintained positions during the rally as dormant supply continued to grow, while a new support and resistance heatmap identifies dense cost-basis supply zones just above current spot prices.
The comprehensive report analyzes macro correlations, spot ETF flows, stablecoin liquidity, and Ethereum network activity alongside a new indicator map screening hundreds of on-chain and macro series. Key areas of focus include miner revenue, derivatives positioning, and Layer 2 activity, providing a multi-dimensional view of market structure through the end of September.
Coinbase and Glassnode Release Q4 2026 Crypto Outlook: Bitcoin Recovery Underway
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