Crypto analyst Darkfost reports that Bitcoin's price volatility around the Power Law trend line has decreased significantly over the past decade, with oscillator peaks falling from +169 in 2018 to +102 in 2025. Daily change standard deviation has dropped approximately 49% from 4.81 to 2.47, indicating converging market cycles and reduced price swings.
As of October 3, the model's oscillator stood at +34.5 with Bitcoin priced near $84,700. Based on current regression parameters, an oscillator reading of +100 corresponds to a Bitcoin price of approximately $157,800, representing an 86% increase from current levels. Darkfost emphasizes this figure serves as a dynamic reference level rather than a fixed target, noting it will adjust upward if the Power Law trend line continues to rise.
Bitcoin Power Law Model Points to $157,800 as Next Reference Target
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