A Polymarket user with an 81% win rate, known as @Pajamapants, has placed a $40,000 bet on the prediction that Trump will not end the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by April 30. The bet was made at an average entry price of 68.5¢ per share. The market will resolve as "Yes" if an official announcement is made by the U.S. government or Trump himself stating the blockade has ended by the deadline. Otherwise, it will resolve as "No."