Major Wall Street asset management firms are cautioning about increasing correction risks as the divergence between U.S. stock and bond markets intensifies. Rising U.S. Treasury yields have coincided with AI and technology stocks driving the S&P 500 to new highs, while sustained selling pressure has pushed the 10-year Treasury yield to its highest level in over a year. Concerns are mounting that Middle East conflicts and elevated oil prices could reignite inflation, prompting the Federal Reserve to maintain high interest rates.
Vincent Mortier, Chief Investment Officer at Amundi, emphasized that a correction in U.S. equities is inevitable, citing a "complete reversal" in market sentiment and positioning. Since the ceasefire news, the S&P 500 has risen 12%, while the one-year inflation swap rate has exceeded 4% for the first time since 2025. Despite record-high stock prices and narrowing credit spreads, some institutions argue that strong corporate earnings continue to support equities, with Giles Parkinson of Trinity Bridge noting that earnings are "exploding."
Wall Street Warns of Correction Risks Amid Stock-Bond Market Divergence
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