The likelihood of a U.S. government shutdown before February 14 has increased to 71%, according to Polymarket data. The prediction market has seen trading volumes surpass $1 million as participants speculate on the potential for another shutdown. This development follows the recent signing of a government funding bill by Trump on February 3, which ended a partial shutdown. The bill funds multiple federal agencies until September 30 but only provides two weeks of funding for the Department of Homeland Security.