A shooting incident at the White House Correspondents' Dinner on April 26 led to the evacuation of Trump before he could deliver his speech, resulting in all Polymarket prediction contracts being settled as "No." The prediction market, which speculated on words Trump might mention in his speech, saw a total trading volume of approximately $278,000 across 32 contracts. According to market rules, the contracts would settle as "Yes" if Trump mentioned the word during the live broadcast. However, due to the shooting and subsequent evacuation, Trump's speech was not delivered, leading to a dramatic reversal in contract outcomes, with high "Yes" odds dropping to "No."
Shooting at White House Correspondents' Dinner Halts Trump Speech, Polymarket Settles Contracts as 'No'
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