Recent analysis of prediction markets reveals that most retail investors prefer short-term events such as 15-minute crypto trades, sports, and weather predictions. These markets offer quick settlements and high capital efficiency but also pose high risks due to potential manipulation by insiders and dominance by professional players and bots. The study suggests that retail investors need tools to discover new markets rather than fast-following bots. On platforms like Polymarket, approximately 70% of markets settle with a 'no' outcome, indicating a potential strategy to counter public fear in geopolitical events. Notably, a user named KrackenSruster achieved a remarkable ROI of 1633.6% by consistently betting 'no'. The analysis also highlights that prediction markets offer more logical certainty compared to meme markets, as they rely on factual analysis rather than mere attention. This suggests that with a clear logic, any probability can be a viable entry point in prediction markets.