Polymarket has opened betting for the 2026 Academy Awards, with significant interest in the Best Picture category, where wagers have exceeded $15 million. "One War After Another" leads the Best Picture race with a 75% live odds ratio. In other categories, Timothée Chalamet is favored for Best Actor with 77% odds, while Paul Thomas Anderson is the frontrunner for Best Director at 91%. Jessie Buckley leads the Best Actress category with a 93% odds rate, and "The Sinner" is ahead for Best Original Screenplay with 84% odds. Teyana Taylor and Stellan Skarsgård are leading in the Best Supporting Actress and Actor categories, with odds of 72% and 67%, respectively. "The Perfect Neighbor" is the top contender for Best Documentary Feature with 65% odds, and "The Sinner" also leads for Best Original Score with 87% odds.