Polymarket, a prediction market platform, has recorded a 96.5% probability of U.S. military forces entering Iran by April 30, marking an 11% increase in just 24 hours. This surge follows reports of a successful rescue operation for the second crew member of a downed F-15E fighter jet, as confirmed by a U.S. government official to Al Jazeera. The rescued crew members are not yet out of danger, as the rescue team must still evacuate from Iran safely. According to Polymarket's criteria, the market will resolve as "Yes" if any active-duty U.S. military personnel physically enter Iranian land territory before the deadline. Special operations forces are included, but intelligence personnel are not. Entry into Iranian waters or airspace does not qualify. Odaily Seer continues to monitor prediction markets for significant changes in probabilities.