I. Crypto Market Overview

Key Takeaways

1.

Macro Environment

The Federal Reserve is expected to keep rates steady, supporting crypto liquidity. US-China and US-Korea trade tensions are rising, increasing global market volatility. Regulatory clarity advances as the SEC and CFTC prepare a joint event on digital asset oversight.
2.

Crypto Market

The crypto market shows a mixed trend, with BTC up 0.64% at $88,146 and ETH rising 1.59% to $2,927, supported by strong staking inflows. Altcoins diverged: Hyperliquid (HYPE) surged 24.0%, PUMP.fun (PUMP) gained 21.6%, and Chiliz (CHZ) rose 9.0%, driven by high trading volumes and ecosystem growth.
3.

Today's Outlook

Major token unlocks today include 53.47M JUP and 290M SIGN, with over $464M in SUI, SIGN, EIGEN, and TREE released, potentially causing supply shocks. The US Bureau of Economic Analysis will publish GDP data, offering key macro signals for global markets.
Fear and Greed Index
6.00% Annual Percentile
29 Fear
Total Crypto Market Cap
$2.97T
0.01%
Total Market Trading Volume
$109.57B
15.58%
Altcoin Season Index
63.64%
Quarterly Percentile
30 / 100
Total Futures Market Open Interest
3.63B
1.22%
Futures
596.88B
0.31%
Perpetuals

II. Industry Updates

Macro-economic Policies

1.

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged at its January 27–28 meeting, maintaining the federal funds rate at 3.50%–3.75%. This policy pause, following three cuts in late 2025, signals a cautious approach amid persistent inflation and a cooling labor market, supporting continued stability in BTC and DeFi liquidity.

2.

US President Trump has announced a tariff increase on South Korean imports from 15% to 25%, targeting key sectors like autos and electronics. This escalation in trade tensions may disrupt global supply chains, potentially increasing volatility in crypto markets and impacting BTC as a macro hedge.

3.

The US dollar remains weak ahead of the Fed's policy decision, while gold and silver prices have surged to new highs. The weaker dollar and rising precious metals prices are driving capital flows into alternative assets, supporting BTC price stability and boosting DeFi collateral values.

4.

A severe winter storm in the US has caused a significant drop in Bitcoin network hashrate as mining operations curtailed power usage. This event highlights the vulnerability of crypto infrastructure to extreme weather, temporarily reducing network security and potentially affecting BTC transaction fees and on-chain activity.

5.

Brazil's central bank is expected to keep its benchmark interest rate at 15% for a fifth consecutive meeting, aiming to control inflation amid economic cooling. High rates in emerging markets like Brazil can limit capital flows into risk assets, potentially dampening local crypto adoption and DEFI participation.

1.

The US SEC and CFTC will hold a joint public event on January 29 to discuss harmonizing crypto regulation, signaling a move toward unified oversight and clearer rules for digital assets.

2.

Thailand's SEC is finalizing new guidelines to expand regulations for crypto ETFs, futures, and tokenized investment products, aiming to boost investor access and legal clarity in the digital asset market.

3.

Russia's parliament advanced a bill enabling the seizure of cryptocurrencies in criminal cases, even before full market regulation, highlighting a focus on anti-money laundering and asset control.

4.

South Korea is set to reauthorize corporate ICOs under strict disclosure rules, marking a major regulatory shift that could increase transparency and institutional participation in the local crypto market.

5.

The UK Financial Conduct Authority has approved crypto ETPs for retail investors, expanding regulated access to digital assets and potentially increasing market participation in the UK.

1.

Hyperliquid (HYPE): Hyperliquid surged 24% in 24h, driven by high trading volume ($538M) and growing user adoption of its zero gas fee perpetual DEX platform, with a fully on-chain order book and recent token launch.

2.

PUMP.fun (PUMP): PUMP.fun rose 21.8% in 24h, supported by $387M trading volume and increased activity on its Solana-based launchpad and AMM, as protocol revenue surpassed competitors and user engagement spiked.

3.

Chiliz (CHZ): Chiliz gained 8.6% in 24h, with $102M volume, as fan token demand increased following new sports partnerships and ongoing expansion of its Layer-1 blockchain for sports and entertainment.

Smart Money Movements

1.

BitMine Immersion Technologies added 40,302 ETH worth $117 million to its treasury last week, raising total holdings to 4.24 million ETH and making it the largest Ethereum corporate holder.

2.

Michael Saylor's Strategy acquired 2,932 BTC for $264 million at an average price of $90,061 per coin, increasing its total Bitcoin holdings to 712,647 BTC.

3.

A major 1inch investor sold 14 million 1INCH tokens for $1.83 million, causing the token price to drop 7% from $0.1385 to $0.129.

4.

Ethereum staking demand reached a record high with 3.33 million ETH (about $9.67 billion) queued for staking, driven by institutional and treasury company participation.

5.

Solana ETFs surpassed $1.08 billion in assets, reflecting strong and consistent institutional inflows over the past two weeks despite recent price volatility.

Events to Watch

Jan 27 (Tue)

Jupiter (JUP) will unlock 53.47 million tokens (1.7% of supply); Sign (SIGN) will unlock 290 million tokens (17.68% of released supply); Over $464 million in SUI, SIGN, EIGEN, TREE tokens to be unlocked, potentially causing supply shocks.

Jan 27 (Tue)

The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis will release national, industry, and state GDP data, providing key macroeconomic signals for global markets.

Jan 28 (Wed)

Federal Reserve meeting to be held; market assigns only a 2.77% probability to a 25-basis-point rate cut, closely watched by global investors.

III. Phemex Market Focus

New Listings

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Support for SPACEUSDT futures with up to 20x leverage, allowing both long and short positions.
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