Nigeria's crude oil supply shortfall is poised to push global oil prices to $90 per barrel by June, according to market predictions. Despite achieving a five-year high production rate of 1.71 million barrels per day, Nigeria has supplied less than half of the crude oil allocated to its refineries in early 2026. This shortfall has forced the Dangote Refinery to import 71% of its crude needs for May, highlighting challenges in balancing export revenues with domestic energy demands. Market activity indicates that Nigeria's supply constraints could exert upward pressure on global oil prices, with current pricing reflecting a strong belief in reaching the $90 mark by June. However, this development does not appear to influence U.S. Federal Reserve rate cut predictions for 2026, as these markets remain largely unaffected. Observers are advised to watch for any policy changes from Nigeria and developments from OPEC+ that could further impact oil supply and pricing.