Lebanon is actively seeking to extend the current ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah, according to statements from the Lebanese Information Minister. This move aligns with prediction markets, which show full confidence in the ceasefire holding through June 30, 2026, with a 100% YES rating. The April 30 contract also reflects this certainty, indicating no immediate threat to the truce. In contrast, prediction markets for Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu's potential departure by April 30 show a mere 0.7% YES, with a slight increase to 6.5% for the June 30 timeframe. These figures suggest limited market activity and low confidence in any imminent political changes in Israel. The Lebanese push for a ceasefire extension and the lack of significant trading activity underscore the stability of the current truce.