Kalshi has generated $500 million in trading volume against only $3 million in open interest, a disparity attributed to market maker incentive structures. According to Kain, the platform pays two market makers $1 for every trade crossed, effectively subsidizing turnover independent of organic user activity.
This mechanism raises questions about the utility of reported volume metrics for prediction market participants. The critical assessment remains whether this incentivized liquidity translates into tangible value for end users on the Kalshi platform rather than serving primarily as artificial volume generation.
Kalshi Volume Scrutinized as Market Maker Incentives Drive $500M Turnover on $3M Open Interest
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