The CME FedWatch tool indicates a 79% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in January 2026. The likelihood of a 25-basis-point rate cut stands at 21%. Looking ahead to March 2026, the probability of a rate cut increases to 47.1%, while the chance of maintaining current rates decreases to 43.4%.
In parallel, the EU's Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation continues to influence global policy expectations. Additionally, international regulatory bodies remain focused on efforts to counter the financing of terrorism, underscoring the ongoing global emphasis on financial security.
Fed Likely to Maintain Rates in January 2026, CME Tool Indicates
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