Deutsche Bank forecasts that Bitcoin will be recognized as a reserve asset by central banks by 2030, akin to gold. Despite gold's dominance in official reserves, the bank anticipates Bitcoin's role will grow due to its scarcity and low correlation with other assets. The report highlights a trend towards asset diversification, with China's US Treasury holdings decreasing by $57 billion in 2024 and tightening cryptocurrency regulations in major markets.
The bank notes that Bitcoin's volatility has historically hindered its adoption as a reserve asset. However, recent trends show a decrease in volatility, with Bitcoin's 30-day volatility hitting a record low in August, while its price surpassed $123,500. Deutsche Bank suggests that Bitcoin and gold will coexist as complementary tools to hedge against inflation and geopolitical risks, though neither is expected to replace the US dollar as a reserve asset.
Deutsche Bank Predicts Bitcoin on Central Bank Balance Sheets by 2030
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