Bitcoin may see a 10% increase in early January, according to historical patterns identified by Alphractal CEO Joao Wedson. Despite a challenging 2025, Wedson notes that Bitcoin typically turns positive after the New Year, with a 2/3 probability of gains in the first week of January. This trend has persisted even after weak year-end transitions, as seen in 2022. Supporting this outlook, on-chain data indicates low selling pressure from long-term Bitcoin holders. Analyst Axel Adler Junior highlights that the Long-Term Holder Distribution Pressure Index is in the accumulation zone, suggesting minimal selling activity. The index's Z-score is at -1.628, below the threshold indicating low distribution, reinforcing a bullish short-term outlook for Bitcoin.