Deutsche Bank forecasts that the U.S. Federal Reserve will resume expanding its balance sheet in the first quarter of 2026, marking a shift towards a more accommodative monetary policy. This prediction comes as economic activity slows and liquidity tightens, potentially prompting the Fed to restart asset purchases and quantitative easing. The Fed concluded its balance sheet reduction on December 1, having decreased its holdings from $9 trillion to $6.6 trillion since 2022. Deutsche Bank suggests that renewed liquidity injections could bolster equities, bonds, and digital assets, similar to effects observed in previous QE cycles.
Deutsche Bank Anticipates Fed Balance Sheet Expansion in Early 2026
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