The International Monetary Fund raised its 2026 global real GDP growth forecast to 3.1%, up from the July estimate of 3.0%, citing artificial intelligence investment as a key factor mitigating energy price shocks in major economies. The 2027 growth projection remains at 3.4%, while global inflation is expected to reach 4.7% in 2026 before easing to 4.1% in 2027.
Regional forecasts show the U.S. maintaining 2.3% growth in both 2026 and 2027, with the eurozone upgraded to 1.1% for 2026. India is projected to grow 7.0% annually through 2027, while Japan is forecast at 0.7%. The IMF expects average crude oil prices at $96 per barrel in 2026 and notes that only 32 countries now account for 95% of global growth, down from approximately 54 countries in April projections.
IMF Raises 2026 Global Growth Forecast to 3.1% on AI Investment Boost
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