China added more solar capacity last year than the entire existing global stock, accelerating Wright’s Law dynamics where costs fall by a fixed percentage as cumulative production doubles. This massive scale injection is causing the cost of energy generation to collapse alongside a parallel decline in compute expenses.
The per-token cost of intelligence is now following its own Wright’s Law curve, creating a double exponential effect where cheaper energy reduces compute costs and cheaper compute further optimizes energy production. This reinforcing flywheel between energy inputs and intelligence outputs defines the current technological acceleration cycle.
China's Solar Surge and AI Compute Costs Drive Double Exponential Decline
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