CryptoQuant analyst CoinNiel reported that Bitcoin exchange flows indicate improving supply conditions as of October 27 (UTC), though the overall evidence still supports a neutral market stance. Exchanges shifted from a net inflow of 7,278 BTC on October 26 to a net outflow of 12,702 BTC on October 27. The 7-day and 30-day net outflows stood at 4,633 BTC and 4,048 BTC respectively, despite four days of net inflows in the past week.
Derivatives data shows a funding rate of +0.00762%, exceeding both 7-day and 30-day averages, suggesting bullish positioning without overheating. Open interest reached $25.67 billion, marking a 0.56% increase over seven days and a 0.33% rise over 30 days. Meanwhile, the Long-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (LTH-SOPR) declined from 1.1657 to 1.0124, approaching the break-even point, although this does not definitively confirm reduced selling pressure.
CoinNiel emphasized maintaining a neutral judgment until sustained net outflows from exchanges form a clear trend. A persistent outflow pattern combined with stable funding rates and open interest would strengthen a bullish outlook, whereas renewed net inflows accompanied by sharp increases in derivatives metrics would necessitate a reassessment. Recent outflows were largely driven by single-day movements, while positive funding rates and modest open interest growth persist.
Bitcoin Exchange Outflows Signal Improved Supply but Analyst Maintains Neutral Stance
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