The World Bank has projected a 24% rise in energy prices and a 16% increase in commodity prices for 2026, potentially impacting the cryptocurrency market. High oil prices are expected to fuel inflation and raise interest rate expectations, exerting pressure on both stock and crypto markets. Geopolitical factors could lead to an 11.5% increase in international oil prices for every 1% decline in crude supply. Morgan Stanley forecasts that severe transportation bottlenecks could push international oil prices to $150–$180 per barrel. During a recent energy-driven sell-off in March 2026, Bitcoin briefly fell to the mid-$60,000 range before stabilizing near $70,000, with around 600,000 BTC traded. Analysts indicate that elevated oil prices have increased U.S. Treasury yields and strengthened the dollar, causing short-term capital outflows from risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.