A U.S. military MQ-4C unmanned surveillance aircraft recently conducted a flight along Iran's border, originating from a base in the UAE and traversing the Persian Gulf before returning from the Gulf of Oman. Concurrently, a U.S. C-130J "Super Hercules" transport aircraft departed from Qatar. This activity coincides with a reported increase in the probability of a U.S. military attack on Iran, which has risen to 70% according to Polymarket data, with potential action anticipated before January 31.