The United States has intensified its demands in negotiations with Iran, focusing on the country's nuclear program and the security of the Strait of Hormuz. Despite ongoing talks, Washington has shown limited flexibility, particularly in easing sanctions, and remains firm on these core issues. Iran remains skeptical of U.S. assurances, which aim to prevent renewed conflict. Meanwhile, prediction markets like Polymarket indicate a low probability of a permanent peace agreement being reached by May 31, at 11%, and by June 30, at 33%.