Toncoin (TON) has experienced a 50% rally over the past month, but recent price movements suggest a potential retracement to $1.50. Despite the recent bullish shift in its higher timeframe swing structure, the altcoin is currently in a corrective phase. The $1.95 swing high was breached on May 6, indicating a temporary bullish trend, but the 4-hour internal structure remains bearish. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has been below the neutral 50 level, suggesting bearish momentum, while the On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicates reduced trading activity during the retracement. This suggests that sellers are not fully in control, and a bullish continuation could occur once the pullback ends. Traders are watching for a potential bullish reaction from the $1.5-$1.8 range, with a breach of recent local highs signaling a shift in momentum. Bitcoin's performance, currently trading above $80,000, is also influencing altcoin sentiment. A significant drop in Bitcoin's price could negatively impact Toncoin, potentially driving it below $1.50. However, as long as the $1.5 and $1.12 levels hold, investors remain optimistic about Toncoin's long-term prospects.