Prediction markets are signaling a 96% probability that the U.S. government will reopen between November 12 and 15. This follows a bipartisan Senate vote to fund the government through January 30. Traders on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi are anticipating an end to the shutdown within days. However, the issue of Affordable Care Act subsidies remains unresolved, with a Senate vote scheduled for December. The outcome of this vote is uncertain, adding a layer of complexity to the funding agreement. Additionally, prediction markets are showing mixed odds for the 2026 midterm elections, with no clear advantage for either political party.