Prediction market traders are forecasting a record-breaking U.S. government shutdown, potentially exceeding the 35-day shutdown of 2019. Contracts on platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi suggest a 40-day duration, with Polymarket indicating the highest likelihood of resolution by November 15. Kalshi's data forecasts an average shutdown length of 41.6 days, potentially concluding around November 11.
Prediction Markets Anticipate Record U.S. Government Shutdown
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