Prediction markets are signaling a short-lived 2026 US government shutdown as traders expect a swift resolution to the funding impasse. The partial shutdown, which began on January 31, has left approximately 800,000 federal workers furloughed or working without pay, affecting agencies like Homeland Security and the Federal Aviation Administration. On platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, traders are betting on a quick end to the shutdown, with Polymarket showing a high probability for a shutdown lasting at least five days, but low odds for longer durations. Kalshi's market reflects similar expectations, with the "No" contract for a shutdown exceeding four days priced at 91 cents. The consensus suggests that political pressures and past experiences with extended shutdowns will drive a resolution soon.