Polymarket has reported a 96% probability of Israel launching a military strike against Iran's nuclear facilities by April 30. This marks a significant increase of 51% in the past 24 hours. The prediction market specifies that any military action, including drone and missile attacks or aerial bombings, will resolve the market as "Yes" if conducted before the deadline. However, cyberattacks and diplomatic actions are excluded from this resolution. Israeli officials have indicated that they believe a ceasefire is premature, suggesting military operations could continue for another month.