A Polymarket bet on whether Satoshi Nakamoto will move Bitcoin by 2025 experienced a dramatic 15% surge on October 15, before crashing to 5%, resulting in substantial trader losses. One participant who wagered 'yes' at 10 cents per share incurred a loss exceeding $13,000, while another at 11 cents per share lost $16,583. This incident underscores the inherent volatility in prediction markets.