I. Crypto Market Overview

Key Takeaways

1.

Macro Environment

The EU is set to enforce a blanket ban on crypto transactions with Russian entities, potentially disrupting cross-border flows and BTC liquidity. Germany accelerates digital euro and euro stablecoin initiatives, aiming to boost euro-based DeFi and reduce USD reliance. Global stablecoin payroll adoption rises, especially in emerging markets, enhancing DeFi liquidity and cross-border payment efficiency.
2.

Crypto Market

The crypto market remains mixed, with BTC down 0.82% at $68,005 amid ETF outflows and risk-off sentiment, while ETH outperforms, up 0.93% at $1,988.84, supported by institutional inflows and DeFi activity. Altcoins show divergence: NEXO leads with a 7.94% gain, ATOM rises 3.74%, and SOL is up 1.07%, driven by ecosystem growth; FET and ARB lag. Harvard’s portfolio shift from BTC to ETH highlights growing institutional diversification.
3.

Today's Outlook

Key events today include the US Federal Reserve FOMC minutes release, UK inflation data, and New Zealand’s rate decision, all likely to impact crypto market volatility. Rocket Pool’s Saturn One upgrade goes live, introducing major scalability and capital efficiency improvements for the Ethereum staking ecosystem. ETHDenver 2026 opens, gathering top Web3 engineers and Ethereum developers for technical workshops and hackathons.
Fear and Greed Index
40.00% Annual Percentile
12 Fear
Total Crypto Market Cap
$2.34T
0.10%
Total Market Trading Volume
$79.31B
16.79%
Altcoin Season Index
45.45%
Quarterly Percentile
29 / 100
Total Futures Market Open Interest
3.16B
12.57%
Futures
366.74B
3.47%
Perpetuals

II. Industry Updates

Macro-economic Policies

1.

The European Union is moving to implement a blanket ban on all crypto transactions involving Russian entities, aiming to close sanctions loopholes. This could reduce cross-border crypto flows and impact BTC and stablecoin liquidity between Russia and the EU.

2.

Germany's Bundesbank has intensified its push for a digital euro and euro-denominated stablecoins to strengthen European financial sovereignty and reduce reliance on USD-based payment rails, potentially increasing euro-based DeFi and stablecoin activity.

3.

A recent global survey shows 39% of crypto users now receive part of their income in stablecoins, with adoption highest in emerging markets. This trend boosts on-chain stablecoin velocity and could enhance DeFi liquidity and cross-border payment efficiency.

4.

The EU's proposed crypto ban on Russia coincides with Russia institutionalizing crypto mining and investment funds, signaling a divergence in digital asset policy that may shift mining hash power and capital flows, affecting BTC network fundamentals.

5.

S&P Global projects the euro stablecoin market could reach $500 billion by 2028, driven by institutional adoption and policy support. This would expand euro-denominated liquidity pools and could challenge USD dominance in DeFi and NFT settlements.

1.

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse predicts an 80% chance the U.S. CLARITY Act will pass by April, potentially providing long-awaited regulatory clarity and boosting institutional confidence in the crypto market.

2.

The U.S. SEC is shifting to a softer regulatory approach, reducing enforcement actions and introducing clearer guidelines for DeFi and stablecoins, which may lower legal risks and encourage market participation.

3.

Dubai's Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority has granted Animoca Brands a Virtual Asset Service Provider license, enabling regulated crypto brokerage and investment services for institutions in the Middle East.

4.

The U.S. National Credit Union Administration has proposed new stablecoin issuer guidelines under the GENIUS Act, requiring strict licensing and compliance, which could shape the future of regulated stablecoin adoption.

5.

Stablecoin adoption is accelerating globally, with new U.S. and EU regulations (GENIUS Act, MiCA) driving enterprise payroll and cross-border payment use cases, supporting stablecoin market growth and mainstream integration.

1.

MemeCore (M): Surged 20% in 24h to $1.53 with $10.86M volume, driven by its unique Proof of Meme consensus and strong meme coin ecosystem growth.

2.

NEXO (NEXO): Rose 8% in 24h to $0.91, with $25.8M trading volume and $587M market cap, fueled by increased platform activity and high-yield product demand.

3.

Cosmos (ATOM): Gained 4% in 24h to $2.29, with $85.9M volume, supported by ongoing interoperability upgrades and rising DeFi ecosystem participation.

Smart Money Movements

1.

Harvard Management Company reduced its Bitcoin ETF holdings by over 20% to $265.8 million and invested $86.8 million in the iShares Ethereum Trust, marking its first major ETH ETF allocation.

2.

BitMine acquired 45,759 ETH for $91 million, increasing its total Ethereum holdings to 4,371,497 ETH, representing 3.62% of the total ETH supply, with 3,040,483 ETH staked worth $6.1 billion.

3.

Strategy, led by Michael Saylor, purchased an additional 2,486 BTC for $168.4 million at an average price of $67,710, bringing total holdings to 717,131 BTC valued at $48.76 billion.

4.

Hyperscale Data announced its Bitcoin holdings exceeded 600 BTC, reaching a market value of $41.3 million, with plans to expand to $100 million in BTC assets.

5.

DDC Enterprise Limited increased its Bitcoin holdings by 80 BTC to a total of 2,068 BTC, marking a 74.8% increase since early 2026, with an average cost basis of $84,944.

Events to Watch

Feb 18 (Wed)

US Federal Reserve will release FOMC meeting minutes; UK to publish inflation data; New Zealand central bank announces rate decision, all potentially impacting crypto markets.

Feb 18 (Wed)

Rocket Pool's Saturn One network upgrade goes live, introducing RPL fee switch, 4ETH validators, MEGAPOOLS, and rETH improvements for scalability and capital efficiency.

Feb 18 (Wed)

ETHDenver 2026 opens, gathering Web3 engineers and Ethereum developers for hackathons, workshops, and technical experimentation.

Feb 20 (Fri)

US Q4 GDP advance estimate and December Core PCE Price Index will be released, key for Fed rate outlook and crypto market sentiment.

Feb 20 (Fri)

Major token unlocks: LayerZero (ZRO) releases 25.71M tokens (~$43M); Kaito unlocks 32.6M tokens (~$10M); both may increase market volatility.

III. Phemex Market Focus

New Listings

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1.

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