I. Crypto Market Overview

Key Takeaways

1.

Macro Environment

Expectations for a US rate cut in December have risen sharply, fueling risk appetite in crypto. SWIFT's ISO 20022 transition boosts compliant blockchains like Ripple and Stellar. Japan's new 20% crypto tax and MiCA compliance for PI Network signal evolving global regulatory frameworks.
2.

Crypto Market

The crypto market saw broad declines over the past 12 hours, with BTC up 0.88% to $88,631.71 and ETH rising 4.28% to $2,954.65, pressured by weak sentiment and ETF outflows. Altcoins also dropped, with HBAR (-11.35%), CC (-15.06%), and TEL (-4.06%) among the largest losers, despite recent ecosystem news.
3.

Today's Outlook

Today, Grayscale launches Dogecoin (GDOG) and XRP (GXRP) spot ETFs on NYSE Arca, while Monad token (MON) goes live on Solana mainnet with a community airdrop, both events expected to drive significant market attention and liquidity shifts.
Fear and Greed Index
92.00% Annual Percentile
10 Fear
Total Crypto Market Cap
$2.96T
2.02%
Total Market Trading Volume
$125.62B
26.52%
Altcoin Season Index
0.00%
Quarterly Percentile
24 / 100
Total Futures Market Open Interest
4.43B
1.01%
Futures
805.94B
6.65%
Perpetuals

II. Industry Updates

Macro-economic Policies

1.

The Federal Reserve is sharply divided ahead of its December FOMC meeting, with a potential tie on the next interest rate vote. This uncertainty has increased market volatility and is influencing Bitcoin and DeFi liquidity as traders anticipate possible rate cuts.

2.

Expectations for a US interest rate cut in December have surged to over 70% following dovish comments from New York Fed President John Williams. This has led to a rally in US equity futures and is supporting risk sentiment in crypto markets, despite ongoing macroeconomic headwinds.

3.

The US government shutdown has delayed key economic data releases, including CPI and jobs reports, forcing inflation traders to rely on fallback measures. The lack of fresh data is adding uncertainty to Fed policy expectations and increasing volatility in both traditional and crypto markets.

4.

UK inflation eased slightly to 3.6% in October, but weak retail sales and falling consumer confidence ahead of the upcoming Budget are weighing on the British pound. The prospect of a Bank of England rate cut in December is growing, which could impact GBP-denominated crypto trading pairs.

5.

Japanese yen weakness continues as long-end JGB yields rise and fiscal concerns mount. Currency volatility is affecting global crypto flows, with traders watching for potential intervention or policy shifts that could influence cross-border digital asset liquidity.

1.

SWIFT has completed its transition to ISO 20022 for global payments, boosting interest in compliant blockchain networks like Ripple and Stellar, which may drive institutional crypto adoption.

2.

The global number of crypto ATMs declined for the first time since March, with 403 machines removed amid increased regulatory scrutiny, signaling tightening compliance and potential limits on fiat-crypto access.

3.

The U.S. Congress faces a tight deadline to pass key crypto legislation, including market structure reforms and CFTC leadership confirmation, creating short-term uncertainty for U.S. digital asset regulation.

4.

Pi Network has achieved full MiCA compliance, enabling potential PI token trading on regulated EU and EEA exchanges, which could expand its market access and regulatory legitimacy in Europe.

5.

Japan's new 20% crypto tax aligns digital assets with stock taxation and opens institutional channels, pressuring other Asian markets to update their regulatory frameworks and potentially increasing regional competition.

1.

Hedera (HBAR): HBAR surged 11% in 24h with $485M volume, driven by new WBTC integration and institutional-grade network expansion, fueling a rally toward $0.15.

2.

Canton Network (CC): CC rose 8.2% in 24h with $328M volume, boosted by Blockdaemon and 21Shares integrating institutional blockchain solutions bridging TradFi and Web3.

3.

Telcoin (TEL): TEL gained 7.5% in 24h, market cap $485M, following recent regulatory approval for its US digital asset bank, supporting strong remittance and DeFi growth.

Smart Money Movements

1.

An investor accumulated $6.585 million in HYPE tokens within 24 hours, with additional $3.75 million in limit buy orders pending, bringing potential exposure above $10 million.

2.

Cumberland DRW transferred 40 BTC, valued at approximately $3.47 million, to an anonymous address, highlighting ongoing large-scale Bitcoin movements.

3.

A whale group holding 1,000–10,000 BTC sold 112,600 BTC in the past 60 days, while the 10,000+ BTC tier increased holdings by 26,300 BTC, indicating divergent accumulation strategies.

4.

BitMine Immersion Technologies increased its Ethereum holdings to over 3 million ETH, valued at approximately $13.4 billion, as part of a strategy to acquire 5% of total ETH supply.

5.

A whale deposited $2 million USDC to open a $4 million long position on Ethereum with 2x leverage on HyperLiquid, targeting a close at $2,980 per ETH.

Events to Watch

Nov 24 (Mon)

Grayscale launches Dogecoin (GDOG) and XRP (GXRP) spot ETFs on NYSE Arca; Monad token (MON) goes live on Solana mainnet with community airdrop.

Nov 25 (Tue)

US releases Retail Sales and Producer Price Index (PPI) data for September; Starknet v0.14.1 mainnet upgrade launches, improving block speed and hash function.

Nov 26 (Wed)

US to release Q3 GDP, Durable Goods Orders, Initial Jobless Claims, and Core PCE Price Index; Arbitrum holds community event in Hong Kong.

Nov 27 (Thu)

Coinbase suspends trading for CLV, EOS, LOKA, MUSE, WCFC; BONK ETP lists on SIX Swiss Exchange, expanding Solana meme coin exposure.

III. Phemex Market Focus

New Listings

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