I. Crypto Market Overview
Key Takeaways
1.
Macro Environment
Global markets remain volatile as the US government shutdown creates data gaps, increasing uncertainty for the Fed and risk assets. The ECB holds rates steady, supporting EUR stability, while investors shift to safe-haven currencies amid fading US rate cut hopes. Regulatory clarity advances in the US, EU, and Asia, with new stablecoin frameworks and centralized oversight boosting institutional confidence.
2.
Crypto Market
The crypto market saw broad declines over the past 12 hours, with BTC down 4.4% to $97,474 and ETH dropping 9.3% to $3,144.86, pressured by ETF outflows and risk-off sentiment. Zcash (ZEC) fell 4.0% to $494.13 despite recent privacy narrative momentum, Starknet (STRK) slid 3.3% to $0.137, and DASH (DASH) dropped 6.7% to $62.7. Privacy and L2 tokens remain relatively resilient, but overall market weakness dominates.
3.
Today's Outlook
Today, 472,602 SOL tokens ($68.21M) will be unlocked, potentially increasing Solana's volatility. The US monthly retail trade and food services data release may impact macro sentiment. The Franklin Templeton ETF launch could influence institutional crypto flows and market structure.
Fear and Greed Index
70.00% Annual Percentile
25 Fear
Total Crypto Market Cap
$3.22T
Total Market Trading Volume
$259.64B
Altcoin Season Index
75.00%
Quarterly Percentile
32 / 100
Total Futures Market Open Interest
4.26B
Futures
788.66B
Perpetuals
II. Industry Updates
Macro-economic Policies
1.
The US October jobs report will exclude the unemployment rate due to the recent government shutdown, creating a data gap that increases uncertainty for the Federal Reserve and may heighten volatility in BTC and DeFi markets.
2.
Global markets saw a sharp sell-off after hawkish Federal Reserve comments reduced expectations for a December rate cut, triggering risk-off sentiment and driving capital outflows from crypto assets and DeFi liquidity pools.
3.
Investors are shifting to safe-haven currencies like the Swiss franc and Japanese yen as US rate cut hopes fade, leading to a stronger DXY and downward pressure on BTC and altcoin prices.
4.
Eurozone Q3 GDP growth confirmed at 0.2% QoQ, supporting EUR stability as the US dollar weakens; this dynamic may encourage capital rotation into euro-denominated crypto assets and boost DeFi activity in the region.
5.
Shanghai gold and silver futures dropped over 4% amid global market volatility, signaling risk aversion that could reduce demand for crypto as an inflation hedge and impact NFT trading volumes.
Cryptocurrency Regulatory Trends
1.
BNY Mellon has launched the BNY Dreyfus Stablecoin Reserves Fund to help U.S. stablecoin issuers comply with the new GENIUS Act, requiring reserves to be held in ultra-safe assets. This move strengthens regulatory compliance and institutional trust in the stablecoin sector.
2.
Aave Labs received regulatory approval from the Central Bank of Ireland under the MiCA framework to launch a euro-to-stablecoin on/off-ramp across Europe, enabling seamless, fee-free conversion between euros and stablecoins. This regulatory clarity is expected to boost DeFi adoption and user confidence in the EU.
5.
The EU is advancing plans to centralize crypto regulation, aiming to streamline oversight and enhance security for digital asset businesses. This initiative is likely to increase compliance costs but may improve investor protection and market stability.
Trending Tokens
1.
Zcash (ZEC): Zcash surged 14% in 24h to $553, with 24h trading volume reaching $1.91B. The rally is driven by renewed privacy narrative and increased market attention on zero-knowledge protocols.
Smart Money Movements
4.
Institutions purchased $405 million in Bitcoin, moving 4,094 BTC from exchanges like Coinbase and Galaxy Digital to Anchorage Digital, signaling strong long-term confidence.
5.
A whale acquired 9,945 ETH valued at $31.89 million via OTC trades on FalconX, Wintermute, and Coinbase, continuing a pattern of large-scale Ethereum accumulation.
Events to Watch
Nov 14 (Fri)
US monthly retail trade and food services data will be released; Solana unlocks 472,602 SOL ($68.21M), may increase volatility; Franklin Templeton ETF launches, potentially impacting institutional flows.
Nov 15 (Sat)
eCash (XEC) will introduce 64-bit integer support and launch Avalanche Pre-Consensus on mainnet; Chia Network CEO Gene Hoffman joins a community X Space.
Nov 16 (Sun)
Uniswap Cup football tournament and Hyperliquid Forum take place in Buenos Aires; Polkadot hosts sub0 // SYMBIOSIS flagship conference, gathering major industry players.
III. Phemex Market Focus
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