I. Crypto Market Overview

Key Takeaways

1.

Macro Environment

Escalating US-China trade tensions and a 100% tariff on Chinese goods have triggered sharp sell-offs in both stock and crypto markets. The Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates further, with upcoming CPI data releases closely watched for policy signals. Regulatory shifts include the UK lifting its ban on retail crypto ETNs and the US planning a crypto 'innovation waiver' to foster growth.
2.

Crypto Market

The crypto market saw a sharp downturn in the past 12 hours, with BTC down 8.35% to $111,619 and ETH falling 13.96% to $3,776, driven by risk-off sentiment and heavy liquidations. Altcoins experienced steeper losses: SOL dropped 16.28%, ARB plunged 30.14%, and FET fell 27.61%. MYX Finance led declines with a 48.99% drop, while Tether Gold (XAUT) remained flat. The sell-off was triggered by macroeconomic shocks and large-scale liquidations.
3.

Today's Outlook

Today, 13.96 million IO tokens ($7.86M, 6.4% of supply) unlock, potentially increasing market volatility. Lithos Airdrop Stage 2 and Brevis Airdrop Phase 2 also begin, offering new reward opportunities and likely driving heightened activity in related tokens.
Fear and Greed Index
46.00% Annual Percentile
54 Neutral
Total Crypto Market Cap
$3.75T
9.48%
Total Market Trading Volume
$434.18B
106.82%
Altcoin Season Index
25.00%
Quarterly Percentile
52 / 100
Total Futures Market Open Interest
3.41B
4.63%
Futures
1.12T
0.63%
Perpetuals

II. Industry Updates

Macro-economic Policies

1.

The U.S. government announced a 100% tariff on Chinese goods starting November 1, 2025, triggering sharp sell-offs in both stock and crypto markets, with $200 million in crypto liquidations, highlighting the sensitivity of digital assets to global trade tensions.

2.

A massive $130 billion drop in total crypto market capitalization occurred within 24 hours, driven by escalating geopolitical tensions and deteriorating macroeconomic conditions, reflecting how global risk-off sentiment can rapidly drain DeFi liquidity and impact BTC price.

3.

Bitcoin plunged to $105,000 amid a $5 billion liquidation wave, then rebounded above $114,000, illustrating how macroeconomic shocks and policy uncertainty can amplify volatility and trigger cascading liquidations in the crypto derivatives market.

4.

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics is recalling staff to ensure the September CPI report is released despite the government shutdown, as this data is critical for Social Security adjustments and will directly influence Fed policy and crypto market inflation expectations.

5.

Former President Trump's threat of further tariffs on China caused significant volatility in both traditional and crypto markets, with investors bracing for renewed inflationary pressures and potential capital outflows from risk assets like BTC and DeFi protocols.

1.

Singapore's Monetary Authority has postponed the implementation of Basel crypto banking capital rules to January 2027, giving banks more time to adapt. This delay may slow institutional crypto adoption in Asia but signals a cautious regulatory approach.

2.

The UK Financial Conduct Authority has lifted its four-year ban on retail crypto ETNs, reopening access to regulated crypto investment products. This move is expected to boost retail participation and market liquidity in the UK.

3.

Banxa has secured a MiCA license in the Netherlands, enabling it to operate as a regulated crypto asset service provider across the EU. This strengthens compliance and could increase investor confidence in European crypto markets.

4.

The US is set to introduce a crypto 'innovation waiver' by year-end, aiming to foster technological advancement while maintaining regulatory oversight. This may encourage new crypto projects and support market growth.

5.

The banking industry is being urged to compete with stablecoins by leveraging existing infrastructure, suggesting a shift toward integrating stablecoin technology into traditional financial services and potentially increasing competition and innovation.

1.

MemeCore (M): MemeCore surged to $2.06 with a 0.85% 24h gain and $36.5M volume, driven by strong meme coin sector momentum and recent viral community activity.

2.

MYX Finance (MYX): MYX Finance saw $113M in 24h trading volume despite a 48% drop, as volatility spiked following recent protocol upgrades and cross-chain integration news.

3.

Tether Gold (XAUT): Tether Gold reached $4,000.75, up 0.44% in 24h with $202M volume, benefiting from rising gold prices and increased demand for tokenized real-world assets.

Smart Money Movements

1.

A crypto whale secured $78.56 million in profits from a $1.1 billion short position on Bitcoin and Ethereum within 17 hours, using 10x and 12x leverage respectively.

2.

15,000 ETH, valued at approximately $57.86 million, was transferred from an unknown wallet to Coinbase Institutional, signaling potential large-scale trading or repositioning.

3.

Whale addresses increased their WLFI holdings by 4.82%, added 8 million PEPE, and boosted SAND balances by 20 million tokens during the recent market dip, despite price declines.

4.

A major whale expanded its Bitcoin short position to $735 million on Hyperliquid, realizing over $12 million in profit and holding more than $5 billion in BTC and ETH combined.

5.

2,197,563 LINK, worth about $45.94 million, was transferred from an unknown wallet to Coinbase, indicating possible selling pressure or strategic repositioning by a large holder.

Events to Watch

Oct 11 (Sat)

IO token unlock: 13.96M IO ($7.86M) unlocks, 6.4% of supply; Lithos Airdrop Stage 2 and Brevis Airdrop Phase 2 both begin, offering new reward opportunities.

Oct 14 (Tue)

Aster (ASTER) Phase 2 airdrop distribution: 320M tokens (4% of supply, ~$570M) released; Monad MON airdrop and Lern360 LERN IDO on TrustFi also launch.

Oct 15 (Wed)

US September CPI and Core CPI data released; Federal Reserve Beige Book published; Yield Basis YB and Recall Labs RECALL token generation events; Novastro XNL token launch.

Oct 16 (Thu)

US September PPI and Retail Sales data released; FacilPay (FACIL) IDO on Spores, expanding payment token offerings.

Oct 17 (Fri)

ASTER airdrop claim deadline; 183M ASTER tokens ($325M) unlock; US September employment data released; WhiteBIT Nova Card campaign ends.

III. Phemex Market Focus

New Listings

ChainOpera AI is a blockchain-based full-stack AI platform designed to enable collaborative intelligence.
$KGEN is the native token of the KGeN Protocol, designed to accelerate business growth across AI, DeFi, and digital economies.
EVAA is a liquidity protocol integrated with Telegram, providing a DeFi superlayer for yield, payments, and borrowing.
PoPP is a Consumer Rewards Platform using AI to analyze on-chain user behaviors for tailored dApps and audience targeting.
Pipe Network is a decentralized edge supercloud for content delivery, storage, and AI inference.

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