I. Crypto Market Overview

Key Takeaways

1.

Macro Environment

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to cut rates in December, fueling risk-on sentiment and supporting crypto inflows. The UAE has imposed strict licensing requirements on crypto and DeFi firms, raising compliance costs. The ECB and BIS have warned of systemic risks from stablecoins and tokenized funds, signaling tighter global oversight.
2.

Crypto Market

The crypto market saw broad declines over the past 12 hours, with Bitcoin down 4.43% to $97,474 and Ethereum dropping 9.27% to $3,144.86, pressured by ETF outflows and risk-off sentiment. Altcoins also fell, with DASH down 6.69%, Kaspa down 7.66%, and Merlin Chain down 2.20%. Despite recent mainnet upgrades, sector-wide selling dominated.
3.

Today's Outlook

Key events today include the release of US Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index data, crucial for inflation expectations, and the opening of the HIT Games Conference in Abu Dhabi and HODL Summit 2025 in Dubai, both spotlighting blockchain and DeFi trends.
Fear and Greed Index
96.00% Annual Percentile
15 Fear
Total Crypto Market Cap
$3.10T
2.75%
Total Market Trading Volume
$140.13B
0.58%
Altcoin Season Index
36.36%
Quarterly Percentile
25 / 100
Total Futures Market Open Interest
4.69B
1.00%
Futures
840.43B
7.12%
Perpetuals

II. Industry Updates

Macro-economic Policies

1.

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to cut interest rates at its December 9-10 FOMC meeting, with market-implied probabilities above 80%. This anticipated policy easing has triggered a strong "risk-on" sentiment, driving Bitcoin above $90,000 and boosting DeFi liquidity as investors seek higher-yielding digital assets.

2.

Australia's October CPI inflation rose to 3.8% year-over-year, exceeding expectations and raising the likelihood of further RBA tightening. Persistent inflation and potential rate hikes could dampen risk appetite, leading to increased volatility and possible outflows from crypto markets as investors reassess risk premiums.

3.

Japan's government approved a major fiscal stimulus, increasing short-term JGB issuance by ¥7 trillion to fund economic support. This move has pressured the yen and raised concerns about currency stability, which could impact global liquidity flows and influence Bitcoin and stablecoin demand in Asia.

4.

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand cut its Official Cash Rate by 25 basis points to 2.25%, citing economic slack and stabilizing inflation. Lower rates are expected to support household spending and may encourage capital inflows into risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, as local yields decline.

5.

US Producer Price Index (PPI) data for September showed a 0.3% month-over-month increase, matching expectations and signaling cooling wholesale inflation. This supports the case for a Fed rate cut, reinforcing bullish sentiment in crypto markets and driving short-term rallies in BTC and altcoins.

1.

The UAE has enacted a new central bank law requiring all crypto and DeFi entities to obtain a license, with fines up to $272 million for non-compliance, increasing regulatory pressure and compliance costs for market participants.

2.

The World Federation of Exchanges has warned the SEC against granting regulatory exemptions to crypto firms for tokenized stocks, emphasizing the need for equal rules to protect market integrity and investor confidence.

3.

The Bank for International Settlements has raised concerns over the rapid growth of tokenized money market funds, urging urgent regulatory action to address liquidity and systemic risks, which could lead to stricter oversight of DeFi products.

1.

Merlin Chain (MERL): MERL surged 134% in 24h with trading volume up 191% to $174.8M, driven by a mainnet upgrade on Nov 26, 2025, aimed at enhancing scalability and ZooKeeper performance.

2.

DASH (DASH): DASH rose 18.9% in 24h with $359M volume, following a new partnership with Zebec Network to enable seamless, instant crypto transactions for global users.

3.

Kaspa (KAS): KAS gained 14.3% in 24h, trading above $0.058 with $95.5M volume, as a 25% price surge was noted, mainly powered by leverage rather than user growth.

Smart Money Movements

1.

SpaceX transferred 1,163 BTC worth approximately $105 million to a new wallet, highlighting ongoing corporate Bitcoin activity and potential strategic repositioning.

2.

A crypto whale achieved a 100% win rate this week, realizing $11.29 million profit in 50 days, and recently opened a 3X short position on 1,000 BTC valued at $90.3 million.

3.

BlackRock acquired 953 BTC ($83.43 million) and 15,722 ETH ($46.24 million) from Coinbase Prime in a single 20-minute transaction, underscoring continued institutional accumulation.

4.

DDC Enterprise expanded its Bitcoin holdings by purchasing 100 BTC at an average price of $106,952, bringing its total to 1,183 BTC and reinforcing its long-term accumulation strategy.

5.

Pump Fun transferred 75 million USDC to Kraken and subsequently moved $69.26 million USDC to Circle, reflecting active treasury management and large-scale stablecoin movements.

Events to Watch

Nov 27 (Thu)

HIT Games Conference opens in Abu Dhabi, focusing on blockchain gaming; HODL Summit 2025 begins in Dubai, covering DeFi and crypto trends.

Nov 27 (Thu)

US Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index and personal income, savings, and spending data to be released, key for inflation outlook.

Nov 27 (Thu)

Canada releases Q3 current account deficit data, providing insight into economic health and potential currency impact.

Nov 28 (Fri)

Eurozone national November CPI figures and Canada September/Q3 GDP data to be published, influencing EUR and CAD market sentiment.

Nov 29 (Sat)

Hyperliquid unlocks 9.92M core contributor tokens ($333M); Sentient airdrop registration deadline, both events may affect token liquidity.

III. Phemex Market Focus

New Listings

Phemex will list the new spot trading pair MON/USDT. Monad is a high-performance, Layer 1 blockchain that aims to address the scalability limitations of existing networks, particularly Ethereum, while maintaining full compatibility with the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM).
Phemex will be listing the new futures trading pair BOBUSDT. This futures pair is linear USDT-margined and supports hedge mode, which allows you to keep both a long and short position at the same time.

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