I. Crypto Market Overview
Key Takeaways
1.
Macro Environment
The US government shutdown has delayed key inflation data, increasing uncertainty for Fed policy and market volatility. Japan's $135.5B stimulus weakened the yen and boosted crypto demand, while Singapore's upgraded GDP forecast signals Asian economic resilience. Regulatory clarity is improving, with the SEC advocating market-driven crypto rules.
2.
Crypto Market
The crypto market saw mixed performance over the past 12 hours, with Bitcoin (BTC) down 9.35% to $83,192 and Ethereum (ETH) down 10.1% to $2,720, pressured by ETF outflows and risk-off sentiment. Altcoins broadly declined, but DoubleZero942Z (+17.26%), World Liberty Financial (+10.28%), and Bitcoin Cash (+9.29%) outperformed, driven by speculative trading and rotation into large-cap alternatives.
3.
Today's Outlook
No major macroeconomic or crypto-specific events are scheduled for today, but traders are closely watching for upcoming US GDP and inflation data releases next week, which are expected to drive volatility and set the tone for risk assets.
Fear and Greed Index
88.00% Annual Percentile
11 Fear
Total Crypto Market Cap
$2.89T
Total Market Trading Volume
$260.11B
Altcoin Season Index
0.00%
Quarterly Percentile
25 / 100
Total Futures Market Open Interest
4.36B
Futures
765.15B
Perpetuals
II. Industry Updates
Macro-economic Policies
1.
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics has canceled the October CPI release due to the government shutdown, creating a data gap that increases uncertainty for the Federal Reserve's upcoming rate decision. This lack of inflation data has heightened volatility in both traditional and crypto markets, with traders relying more on private indicators to anticipate Fed policy, directly impacting Bitcoin and DeFi liquidity.
2.
Dovish remarks from Federal Reserve officials, including New York Fed President John Williams, have sharply increased market expectations for a December rate cut. This policy shift triggered a strong rebound in US equities and a $3,000 surge in Bitcoin, as lower interest rate prospects boost risk appetite and support crypto asset inflows.
3.
Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs reached a record $11.5 billion in daily trading volume, driven by institutional activity and market volatility following macroeconomic policy shifts. Despite this, Bitcoin ETFs saw $3.79 billion in outflows in November, while altcoin ETFs like Solana reported net inflows, reflecting changing investor strategies amid evolving monetary policy.
4.
Japan approved a $135.5 billion stimulus package, its largest since the pandemic, aiming to counteract economic contraction and persistent inflation. The move weakened the yen and increased demand for crypto assets, as liquidity injections and currency depreciation historically drive Japanese investors toward Bitcoin and other digital assets.
5.
Singapore raised its annual GDP growth forecast after a stronger-than-expected Q3, signaling resilience in Asian markets. This economic strength is seen as a positive macro backdrop for crypto, potentially increasing regional trading volumes and supporting bullish sentiment in Bitcoin and Ethereum pairs.
Cryptocurrency Regulatory Trends
Trending Tokens
1.
DoubleZero942Z (942Z): The token surged 17.26% in 24h with $190M volume, but no specific news or event was found to explain the sharp gain; likely driven by speculative trading or whale activity.
Smart Money Movements
1.
BlackRock deposited 4,198 BTC ($348M) and 43,237 ETH ($117M) to Coinbase, signaling major institutional movement in both Bitcoin and Ethereum.
3.
Cardone Capital acquired 185 BTC at $82,500 each, totaling $15.26M, reflecting continued institutional accumulation during the recent Bitcoin dip.
5.
The Swiss National Bank increased its Bitcoin exposure by investing in Saylor's Strategy and other Bitcoin-focused firms, underscoring rising institutional adoption.
Events to Watch
Nov 24 (Mon)
US PCE rates for October and the second estimate of US Q3 GDP will be released, key for inflation and economic outlook.
Nov 25 (Tue)
US and Germany to release PPI and GDP data; US Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index for November will be published.
Nov 26 (Wed)
US Q3 GDP report, Beige Book, initial jobless claims, Chicago PMI, and UK budget announcement will be released.
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