The Block's onchain analysis of Polymarket account dubdubdub2, previously scrutinized by The New York Times, found no strong evidence that the trader had early access to election polls. The investigation revealed the account has a history of large-scale speculation and DeFi trading, holding relevant election positions until settlement rather than exiting immediately after polls were published. Trading records indicate the bettor may have continued placing wagers 10 minutes after Nebraska poll results emerged.
Two experts interviewed stated that existing evidence does not strongly point to wrongdoing but cannot completely rule it out. Polymarket has acknowledged the concerns and confirmed it is investigating the matter.
Onchain Data Fails to Confirm Polymarket Election Bettor Had Early Poll Access
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