Minsheng Securities has released a report predicting an uptick in inflation during the fourth quarter of 2025, following September's inflation data. The firm anticipates that stronger-than-expected employment figures will prompt the Federal Reserve to adopt a more cautious stance on monetary easing. This could lead to a cooling of recent market exuberance, with potential short-term volatility in precious metals and risk assets. The report highlights an expected upward inflection point for core inflation in Q4, driven by factors such as new inventory demand, tariff implementation, and declining profit margins. Minsheng Securities warns that inflationary pressures may surpass market expectations, potentially reversing the anticipated path of interest rate cuts.