Wintermute's latest report highlights the significant influence of Middle Eastern geopolitics on global markets. Following Iran's ceasefire signal, U.S. equities and crude oil prices fell, but a hardline stance from Trump led to an 11% surge in WTI crude, surpassing $111. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield increased to 4.36%, with no expected Fed rate cut in April, making upcoming PCE data crucial.
In the crypto sector, sentiment remains weak. Bitcoin recorded a modest 2% weekly gain, with the Fear & Greed Index at 9, indicating extreme fear. Ethereum outperformed with a 4.2% rise, while Solana fell below $80 after a $285 million hack of the Drift protocol. March saw $1.32 billion net inflow into ETFs, but outflows occurred as institutions shifted to selling. Wintermute notes that ongoing negotiations for a 45-day ceasefire could affect oil prices if tensions escalate.
Middle East Tensions Impact Markets; Crypto Sentiment Weak
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