Market consensus strongly anticipates a U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate cut at its upcoming meeting on October 29, 2025. Polymarket assigns a 96% probability to a 25-basis-point reduction, while CME derivatives data indicates a 96.7% chance of the target range dropping to 3.75%-4.00%. JP Morgan analysts estimate a 99% likelihood of a cut, which could positively impact financial markets and Bitcoin by easing borrowing costs and increasing liquidity.