Polymarket bettors are skeptical that Kelp DAO will distribute the $292 million losses from a recent exploit across all rsETH holders. The probability of Kelp "socializing the losses" is currently at 14%, indicating a low likelihood of implementing a mechanism to share the burden with Ethereum mainnet users, who were unaffected by the exploit. The attack drained approximately 116,500 rsETH from a LayerZero-powered bridge, leaving the system undercollateralized and some tokens not fully backed by ether. While historical precedents exist, such as Bitfinex's 2016 loss mutualization, the complexity of Kelp's situation across multiple chains makes a system-wide redistribution challenging. This complexity, along with the technical and political hurdles, contributes to the skepticism among Polymarket traders.