Kalshi has emerged as the leader in February's prediction market volume, recording $9.8 billion in trading, surpassing Polymarket's $7.6 billion. Despite the first monthly decline since August 2025, the sector's total volume reached $23.4 billion, indicating sustained engagement across both regulated and crypto-native platforms.
The moderation in growth reflects a consolidation phase rather than a structural weakness, with liquidity concentrated in markets linked to U.S. politics and macroeconomic outcomes. Kalshi's growth is attributed to its status as a federally regulated exchange in the U.S., attracting larger participants. Meanwhile, Polymarket remains a key player in the on-chain prediction ecosystem, maintaining stable volumes.
Overall, the data suggests a maturing market with continued demand for decentralized and transparent trading mechanisms, highlighting the resilience of prediction markets in the broader crypto industry.
Kalshi Leads February Prediction Market Volume with $9.8B
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