Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour has projected a potential $10–15 trillion market for institutional risk transfer, following the company's completion of its first customized commodity trade. Mansour highlighted the historical liquidity bottleneck in institutional risk transfer, which Kalshi aims to address by providing price benchmarks through a community of top superforecasters. These benchmarks are being integrated into traditional asset pricing models, facilitating the transfer of risk via block trades and RFQ mechanisms. The current market for risk transfer of non-traditional financial assets is estimated at $1–1.5 trillion, largely illiquid and over-the-counter. Mansour noted that transitioning major OTC markets to exchange trading could significantly expand the market, as seen in interest rate swaps and stock options. The institutional adoption of prediction markets could further drive this growth, potentially democratizing products traditionally confined to Wall Street.