Foreign holdings of U.S. Treasury bonds have decreased from 34% in 2012 to between 25% and 30% currently, indicating a potential structural shift rather than a weakening of the dollar. This trend is influenced by persistent trade deficits and the overvaluation of the dollar. The U.S. current account deficit reached $251.3 billion in the second quarter of 2025, necessitating capital inflows to balance the economy. A managed approach to de-dollarization could help address these imbalances. Despite market volatility, the long-term outlook remains bullish for economic rebalancing.
Foreign Reduction in U.S. Treasury Holdings Signals Structural Shift
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