Deutsche Bank's Head of Research, Jim Reid, has highlighted "striking similarities" between current global energy trends and the macroeconomic conditions preceding the 1970s oil crisis. In a recent report, Reid noted that both periods followed major inflation surges by four to five years, with Iran as a focal point. The report suggests that the potential for history to repeat itself hinges on the duration of ongoing conflicts. Despite these parallels, Deutsche Bank points out a key difference: while the late 1970s saw inflation expectations spiral, leading to aggressive monetary tightening, today's long-term inflation expectations remain stable even after the 2022–23 inflation surge.