Compass Point has reiterated its bearish rating on Coinbase, maintaining a price target of $140, due to increasing competition in the derivatives market. Analysts highlighted that despite Coinbase's subsidiary Deribit gaining regulatory approval to offer offshore crypto perpetual contracts to US users, the potential market entry of competitors like Kalshi and Binance poses significant risks. This competition, coupled with low user switching costs, limits Coinbase's pricing power, particularly among high-net-worth individuals.
In the first quarter, Coinbase's perpetual contract revenue reached $50 million, yet its retail trading revenue hit its lowest since Q3 2024, suggesting possible self-cannibalization. Compass Point also noted the potential for the CFTC to allow Americans to trade on offshore platforms like Hyperliquid or Binance, further increasing competitive pressures. Additionally, the Trump family's connection with Binance through World Liberty Financial's USD1 stablecoin could enhance Binance's prospects in the US market.
Compass Point Maintains Bearish Outlook on Coinbase Amid Derivatives Competition
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