Bitcoin's recent decline to the low 90,000s has surprised prediction markets, prompting traders to anticipate further downside. Polymarket odds now suggest a significant structural break rather than a routine correction, as the selloff has wiped out most of Bitcoin’s gains for the year. QCP Capital highlighted that even professional trading desks were unprepared for a weekly close below 100,000 or the breach of the 50-week moving average, marking it as a cycle-level inflection point. On-chain data from Glassnode indicates signs of late-stage capitulation, while CryptoQuant notes that realized losses remain minimal, with long-term holders continuing to sell into strength. Bitcoin dropped to approximately 92,500 during the U.S. session, marking a 2% decline on the day and a 27% drop from last month’s record high.