Bitcoin has extended its recovery from recent lows, but the rally is marked by thin liquidity and cautious sentiment. Spot trading volume has decreased by 21.5%, and the cumulative volume delta has turned negative, indicating limited buying conviction. In derivatives markets, perpetual futures traders maintain a premium for long positions, yet aggressive buy-side volume has cooled. Options markets show a defensive stance, with the 25-delta skew nearing its upper range, suggesting continued demand for downside protection.
Institutional activity shows signs of recovery, with US Spot ETFs experiencing net inflows after a period of outflows, though trading volumes remain moderate. On-chain activity is subdued, with declining active addresses and fee generation, despite higher prices. The holder base remains resilient, with a low ratio of short-term to long-term holder supply, indicating concentrated ownership among conviction-driven investors. While profitability has improved, persistent realised losses suggest ongoing de-risking by participants. Overall, Bitcoin remains in a consolidation phase, with improving institutional inflows and resilient holder positioning, but lacking broad market participation.
Bitcoin Recovery Faces Thin Liquidity and Cautious Sentiment
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