Bitcoin experienced a significant drop to nearly $80,000 in late November 2025, according to market data. This decline coincided with a historically significant ratio of profitable to loss-making short-term holder supply, which fell to 0.013, a level often associated with bear market bottoms. This pattern has been observed in previous market lows, including 2011, 2015, 2018, and 2022.
During the November low, the 7-day moving average of profitable short-term holder supply was approximately 30,000 Bitcoin, while the loss-making supply surged to 2.45 million, the highest since the FTX collapse in 2022. However, Bitcoin has since rebounded to about $94,000, a rise of over 7% in early 2026. The loss-making supply has decreased to 1.9 million, and the profitable supply has increased to 850,000, with the ratio now at 0.45. Historically, when this ratio approaches 1, Bitcoin prices tend to rise further, suggesting potential for continued growth.
Bitcoin Rebounds After November 2025 Low, Historical Indicator Signals Potential Growth
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