Bitcoin is poised for a potential surge to $160,000 in 2025, driven by favorable macroeconomic conditions. Historically, November has been Bitcoin's strongest month, with average gains of 42.51% since 2013. The Federal Reserve's recent quarter-point rate cut and the cessation of quantitative tightening are expected to enhance liquidity, benefiting cryptocurrencies. Additionally, easing U.S.-China trade tensions, marked by reduced tariffs and relaxed rare earth export restrictions, could stabilize markets and boost investment in risk assets like Bitcoin. However, risks such as the ongoing U.S. government shutdown and potential tariff threats persist, with recent market liquidations reaching $19 billion.